The bettors on Kalshi, a prediction market, predict that Google Gemini will emerge as the best text model of artificial intelligence by the end of 2025. The positions reflect the ongoing developments of the competitors of Gemini while the breed of the Grand Language Model (LLM).
Since Tuesday, Gemini has taken a dominant advance with 57% of users betting on the model, compared to 48.1% on the previous date. Meanwhile, the Openai Chatgpt model fell to 20% against 25.4%, and the XAI Grok ratings decreased to 15% compared to 18.8%.
This Kalshi Private prediction scenario will be resolved on December 31, the bettors of the winning model receiving their amount allocated. The LM Arena ranking, “an open platform where everyone can (…) access, explore and interact with the best IA models in the world”, will check the result. Currently, $ 7.4 million in volume have been observed on this prediction scenario.
On August 15, Google announced a series of updates for Gemini, including a tale book mode, an improved reasoning model and temporary cats that are not recorded in the user history. Meanwhile, Openai has undergone missteps, including a deployment of Chatgpt-5, which users have traveled and the CEO of the company, Sam Altman, had to take X to defend.
The XAI GROK also had well -published problems, the users accusing the model of being biased to the right wing or the left of the policy, according to the user. The company was forced to remove certain Grok positions after the model was congratulated Adolf Hitler.
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Llm Race warms up
The pursuit to become the best world model in large language has warmed in recent months, because the industry is in position of position in various fields.
One of these areas is internet research, where many AI models draw their information and sources. Last Tuesday, the company of IA Perplexity made an unsolicited cash offer of $ 34.5 billion to buy the Google Chrome browser, which contains the majority share on the Internet browser market. OPENAI would also be interested in buying the browser.
Deepseek, an AI company based in China, has acquired market share. In April, he published a new model called Prover 2, which is advanced in mathematics.
However, there could be obstacles to the development of AI by anti-trust actions. In October 2024, the antitrust authorities of the G7 Nations indicated that they could take measures to protect competition in the field of AI. Google and Meta, actors in the AI industry, face antitrust – Google proceedings of an American district court and the meta of the Federal Trade Commission. These proceedings could affect the development of AI.
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